FC Levadia 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.61/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.27
-19% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
29.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
01.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-1
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 33% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 67%, shots finished 5-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Levadia and 1.17 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

FC Levadia 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 52%, draw 25%, Paide Linnameeskond 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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