Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 54%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.99/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.36
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
195 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 587 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
29.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
01.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
11.11.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2-1
AWAY FC Levadia
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond edged past FC Levadia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 37% of the ball to FC Levadia's 63%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.67 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 28%, draw 25%, FC Levadia 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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