Atletico Ottawa 0-3 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
33%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 54%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.42/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.92
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
19.3 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cavalry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
423 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2026 Cavalry Cavalry 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
10.11.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.09.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
24.08.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-2 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
29.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
0-3
AWAY Cavalry
0.51 xG 2.43
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
446 Passes 377
20 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry cruised past Atletico Ottawa 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.51 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.17 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Atletico Ottawa 0-3 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 24%, draw 24%, Cavalry 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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