Cavalry 3-1 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.44/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.59
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
18.2 Crosses 10.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 366
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HT 1-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
27.09.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
24.08.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-2 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
29.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
16.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
3-1
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
1.56 xG 0.51
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
282 Passes 611
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
36 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry got the better of Atletico Ottawa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cavalry had 34% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 66%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.56 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cavalry and 2.33 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Cavalry 3-1 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 56%, draw 24%, Atletico Ottawa 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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