Atletico Ottawa 2-1 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 10 Nov 2025

📅10/11/2025 · 🕒01:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.48/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.18
+15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.0 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cavalry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 Passes 345
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
24.08.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-2 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
29.06.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.04.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
16.09.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
04.08.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-1
AWAY Cavalry
1.13 xG 1.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
292 Passes 242
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa squeezed past Cavalry 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Atletico Ottawa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 53% of the ball to Cavalry's 47%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cavalry.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.17 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Atletico Ottawa 2-1 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 10/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 35%, draw 30%, Cavalry 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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