BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 3-1 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils beat Liepaja 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 50% of the ball to Liepaja's 50%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.85 to 1.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.50 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
BFC Daugavpils 3-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 30%, draw 27%, Liepaja 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.