Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liepaja 2-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja nicked a narrow win over BFC Daugavpils 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Liepaja had 52% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 48%, shots finished 11-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Liepaja and 2.00 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Liepaja 2-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 51%, draw 20%, BFC Daugavpils 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.