Gine Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gine Bissau EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sierra Leone EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.03
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gine Bissau
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sierra Leone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
119 Passes 108
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 12
7 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.03.2025 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 3-1 HT 1-0 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau DKE
11.09.2023 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau 2-1 HT 1-1 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone AFUK
13.06.2022 Sierra Leone Sierra Leone 2-2 HT 0-0 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gine Bissau
1-1
AWAY Sierra Leone
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gine Bissau vs Sierra Leone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gine Bissau and Sierra Leone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gine Bissau at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gine Bissau had 53% of the ball to Sierra Leone's 47%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gine Bissau and 2.00 for Sierra Leone.

What was the final score of Gine Bissau vs Sierra Leone?

Gine Bissau 1-1 Sierra Leone in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gine Bissau vs Sierra Leone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gine Bissau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gine Bissau 45%, draw 30%, Sierra Leone 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gine Bissau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gine Bissau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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