Mali 3-0 Komorlar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.45
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.53
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
65%
+2.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.5pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.6pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mali EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Komorlar EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.75/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.06/2.12
+60% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mali
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Komorlar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0 Corners 0
3 Passes 0
21.03.2025 Komorlar Komorlar 0-3 HT 0-1 Mali Mali DKE
POST-MATCH Mali vs Komorlar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mali ran out comfortable winners over Komorlar 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mali as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Mali vs Komorlar?

Mali 3-0 Komorlar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mali vs Komorlar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mali win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Mali 68%, draw 18%, Komorlar 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mali), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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