Southend United 3-0 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.69
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
21%
4.02
X/2
6%
13.9
X/X
9%
7.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.75
2/2
9%
10.85
2/X
4%
19.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.67/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.14
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
66 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 45 · 95%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
23.10.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
24.02.2024 Southend United Southend United 4-1 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.09.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
18.03.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.11.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
3-0
AWAY Aldershot Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United cruised past Aldershot Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Southend United had 54% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 46%, shots finished 21-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Southend United and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Aldershot Town?

Southend United 3-0 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Southend United 62%, draw 19%, Aldershot Town 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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