Southend United 2-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Feb 2025

Southend United
2-1 HT 0-0
Aldershot Town
📅18/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Southend United vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
12%
8.85
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
10%
6.97
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.74
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
162 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 101 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Southend United vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.10.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
24.02.2024 Southend United Southend United 4-1 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.09.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
18.03.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-2 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
26.11.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.01.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL

Southend United 2-1 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United nicked a narrow win over Aldershot Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Southend United had 49% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 51%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southend United and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Aldershot Town?

Southend United 2-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Southend United 49%, draw 24%, Aldershot Town 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ BTTS No
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