Salford City 0-2 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
9.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.14
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
14%
5.37
X/2
12%
6.56
X/X
8%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.29
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.9pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.33/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.37
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.9 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
240 Passes 237
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
12.10.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 1-2 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
29.12.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-3 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
15.08.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
29.12.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-4 HT 1-4 Salford City Salford City İN2
01.10.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
0-2
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.53 xG 0.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 211
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town got the better of Salford City 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salford City had 55% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 45%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.53 to 0.64 — on chances, Salford City could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Salford City and 1.50 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Grimsby Town?

Salford City 0-2 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Salford City 44%, draw 23%, Grimsby Town 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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