Colchester vs Chesterfield Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Colchester v Chesterfield — Team-Based Signals
Colchester vs Chesterfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Colchester
İN2
1-1
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Chesterfield
FAK
1-1
HT 0-0
Chesterfield
İN1
Colchester 6-2 Chesterfield — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester cruised past Chesterfield 6-2. Half-time: 4-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Colchester made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Colchester had 46% of the ball to Chesterfield's 54%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 5.67 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colchester and 0.83 for Chesterfield.
What was the final score of Colchester vs Chesterfield?
Colchester 6-2 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Colchester vs Chesterfield?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Colchester 34%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 38%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield), Under 2.5 went the other way.