Kickers Emden 3-4 Hamburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.0pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kickers Emden EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg II EU Bookmakers 25%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.96/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.19
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kickers Emden
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Hamburg II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2025 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-3 HT 0-1 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
07.09.2024 Hamburg II Hamburg II 1-2 HT 1-0 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden 1-2 HT 1-0 Hamburg II Hamburg II ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Hamburg II Hamburg II 6-1 HT 4-1 Kickers Emden Kickers Emden ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Kickers Emden vs Hamburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg II nicked a narrow win over Kickers Emden 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kickers Emden at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamburg II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kickers Emden and 3.00 for Hamburg II.

What was the final score of Kickers Emden vs Hamburg II?

Kickers Emden 3-4 Hamburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kickers Emden vs Hamburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kickers Emden win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kickers Emden 56%, draw 19%, Hamburg II 24%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kickers Emden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kickers Emden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
4 Oct 2025
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Meppen Analysis →
15:00 Schott Mainz vs Sonnenhof Grossaspach Analysis →
15:00 SGV Freiberg vs Homburg Analysis →
15:00 Bahlinger SC vs Mainz 05 II Analysis →
15:00 Balingen vs Kickers Offenbach Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Trier vs Freiburg II Analysis →