Vilzing 1-0 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.95/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.54
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.4
Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Bayreuth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2 Corners 8
29.03.2025 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-4 HT 1-3 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
21.09.2024 Vilzing Vilzing 2-2 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-1 HT 2-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing nicked a narrow win over Bayreuth 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vilzing as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vilzing and 1.25 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Bayreuth?

Vilzing 1-0 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vilzing win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 44%, draw 23%, Bayreuth 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vilzing) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vilzing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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