Naesby vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naesby v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals
Naesby vs Holbaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Naesby 2-0 Holbaek — Actual Match Statistics
Naesby beat Holbaek 2-0.
Our pre-match lean was Holbaek at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Naesby had 57% of the ball to Holbaek's 43%, shots finished 15-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holbaek led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naesby and 2.83 for Holbaek.
What was the final score of Naesby vs Holbaek?
Naesby 2-0 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naesby vs Holbaek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Naesby 27%, draw 20%, Holbaek 53%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.