Darlington 1883 4-2 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.95
No
52%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
17%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.7pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.0pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
30%
+18.5pp
52%
BTTS No
70%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 8%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +7%
3.36/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.06
+57% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
448 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Farsley AFC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
04.11.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
21.03.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 3-1 HT 2-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
29.08.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
02.05.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 1-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
08.01.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-6 HT 0-3 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
4-2
AWAY Farsley AFC
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 saw off Farsley AFC 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 65% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 35%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Darlington 1883 and 0.83 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Farsley AFC?

Darlington 1883 4-2 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 63%, draw 20%, Farsley AFC 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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