Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sao Paulo 4-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo ran out comfortable winners over Cruzeiro 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 36% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 64%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 2.16 to 1.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.50 for Cruzeiro.
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Result & Final Score
Sao Paulo 4 - 1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 44%, draw 30%, Cruzeiro 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.