Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vasco da Gama v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vasco da Gama 1-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo found just enough to beat Vasco da Gama 2-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: Vasco da Gama had 63% of the ball to Botafogo's 37%, shots finished 17-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.83 for Botafogo.
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Result & Final Score
Vasco da Gama 1 - 2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 51%, draw 27%, Botafogo 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5 went the other way.