Kauno Zalgiris 2-2 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 16%
-21% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +20%
1.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.47
-16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +45%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
21.09.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 2-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
17.08.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
09.05.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
08.03.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-2
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris and Dziugas Telsiai shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kauno Zalgiris at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 47% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.00 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-2 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 63%, draw 20%, Dziugas Telsiai 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ BTTS No
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