San Marino 1-0 Liechtenstein — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
16%
7.79
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.08
1/2
12%
34.5
1/X
3%
15.85
X/1
9%
5.76
X/2
12%
4.7
X/X
26%
3.04
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.83
2/X
6%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-5.9pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.3pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marino EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Liechtenstein EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Marino
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Liechtenstein
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.34 xG 1.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
248 Passes 375
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
13.10.2020 Liechtenstein 0-0 HT 0-0 San Marino San Marino AVUL
08.09.2020 San Marino San Marino 0-2 HT 0-2 Liechtenstein AVUL
31.03.2015 Liechtenstein 1-0 HT 1-0 San Marino San Marino HAZ
09.02.2011 San Marino San Marino 0-1 HT 0-0 Liechtenstein HAZ
28.04.2004 San Marino San Marino 1-0 HT 1-0 Liechtenstein HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Marino
1-0
AWAY Liechtenstein
0.49 xG 0.54
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
234 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Marino vs Liechtenstein
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Marino nicked a narrow win over Liechtenstein 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 35% / 40% — and on the day San Marino made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, San Marino had 41% of the ball to Liechtenstein's 59%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.49 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Liechtenstein led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for San Marino and 0.80 for Liechtenstein.

What was the final score of San Marino vs Liechtenstein?

San Marino 1-0 Liechtenstein in the UEFA Uluslar League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marino vs Liechtenstein?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liechtenstein win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Marino 25%, draw 35%, Liechtenstein 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liechtenstein) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liechtenstein) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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