Ürdün 1-1 Kuveyt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 35% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.2pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ürdün EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
4.61/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.59
+86% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
Crosses 7.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ürdün
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Kuveyt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2022 Ürdün Ürdün 3-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt ASKE
11.06.2021 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-0 HT 0-0 Ürdün Ürdün DKE
10.10.2019 Ürdün Ürdün 0-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt DKE
13.10.2014 Ürdün Ürdün 1-1 HT 1-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ürdün
1-1
AWAY Kuveyt
1.27 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
374 Passes 457
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ürdün vs Kuveyt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ürdün and Kuveyt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Ürdün carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Ürdün had 46% of the ball to Kuveyt's 54%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.27 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ürdün had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ürdün and 0.25 for Kuveyt.

What was the final score of Ürdün vs Kuveyt?

Ürdün 1-1 Kuveyt in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ürdün vs Kuveyt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ürdün win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ürdün 64%, draw 21%, Kuveyt 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ürdün), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ürdün) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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