Bolivya 4-0 Venezuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2024

📅05/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
17%
3.98
X/2
11%
7.49
X/X
15%
3.84
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
9%
6.56
2/X
4%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela EU Bookmakers 27%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.08/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.80
+128% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.0 Crosses 27.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivya
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Venezuela
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.57 xG 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2022 Venezuela Venezuela 4-1 HT 2-1 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
03.06.2021 Bolivya Bolivya 3-1 HT 1-1 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
11.10.2019 Venezuela Venezuela 4-1 HT 2-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
22.06.2019 Bolivya Bolivya 1-3 HT 0-1 Venezuela Venezuela AKU
11.11.2016 Venezuela Venezuela 5-0 HT 2-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
12.11.2015 Bolivya Bolivya 4-2 HT 3-1 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya
4-0
AWAY Venezuela
3.05 xG 0.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
344 Passes 232
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivya vs Venezuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivya ran out comfortable winners over Venezuela 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolivya as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bolivya had 57% of the ball to Venezuela's 43%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 3.05 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezuela led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bolivya and 3.17 for Venezuela.

What was the final score of Bolivya vs Venezuela?

Bolivya 4-0 Venezuela in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya vs Venezuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bolivya 49%, draw 25%, Venezuela 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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