Cibuti 0-6 Burkina Faso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
16.01
Draw
15%
5.71
Away
74%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.06
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
9.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
2%
X/2
26%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
4%
+6.8pp
15%
Draw
15%
-0.1pp
74%
Away Win
81%
-6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.9pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cibuti EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Burkina Faso EU Bookmakers 85%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.38/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% /
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cibuti
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Burkina Faso
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2025 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 4-1 HT 2-0 Cibuti Cibuti DKE
11.10.2021 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso 2-0 HT 1-0 Cibuti Cibuti DKE
08.10.2021 Cibuti Cibuti 0-4 HT 0-1 Burkina Faso Burkina Faso DKE
POST-MATCH Cibuti vs Burkina Faso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burkina Faso swept aside Cibuti 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Burkina Faso as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cibuti and 3.33 for Burkina Faso.

What was the final score of Cibuti vs Burkina Faso?

Cibuti 0-6 Burkina Faso in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cibuti vs Burkina Faso?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Cibuti 11%, draw 15%, Burkina Faso 74%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burkina Faso), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Burkina Faso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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