Fas 5-0 Nijer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

Fas
5-0 HT 2-0
Nijer
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.18
Draw
14%
5.28
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.81
No
62%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
32%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
79%
-1.2pp
14%
Draw
15%
-1.1pp
8%
Away Win
5%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.6pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fas EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijer EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.64/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.56
-1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +53%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fas
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Nijer
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.48 xG 0.50
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
597 Passes 206
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.03.2025 Nijer Nijer 1-2 HT 0-0 Fas Fas DKE
31.01.2012 Nijer Nijer 0-1 HT 0-0 Fas Fas AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fas
5-0
AWAY Nijer
3.10 xG 0.06
73% Ball Possession 27%
24 Total Shots 2
13 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
620 Passes 178
92% Pass Accuracy 73%
53 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fas vs Nijer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas cruised past Nijer 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fas as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Fas had 73% of the ball to Nijer's 27%, shots finished 24-2, expected goals 3.10 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fas and 0.50 for Nijer.

What was the final score of Fas vs Nijer?

Fas 5-0 Nijer in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fas vs Nijer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fas win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Fas 78%, draw 14%, Nijer 8%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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