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Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ammanford v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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1-2
HT 0-0
Ammanford
GALFAW
Ammanford nicked a narrow win over Caerau (Ely) 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ammanford and 1.50 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)?
Ammanford 3-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 44%, draw 20%, Caerau (Ely) 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.