Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Premier League, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.74 xG 2.19
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
385 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
18.04.2026 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-2 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
10.01.2026 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth FAK
21.09.2025 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
18.01.2025 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-4 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
25.08.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.02.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
PREVIEW Newcastle United vs Bournemouth
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Newcastle United in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Newcastle United's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5; meanwhile, Bournemouth have scored in every one of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth lead the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newcastle United and 1.83 for Bournemouth.

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Kick-off Time

Newcastle United play Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 05/09/2026, kick-off 14:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Newcastle United vs Bournemouth is a Newcastle United win at about 44% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Newcastle United 44%, draw 27%, Bournemouth 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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