Roma vs Atalanta Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atalanta
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
03.01.2026 Atalanta Atalanta 1-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
12.05.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
02.12.2024 Roma Roma 0-2 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
12.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
07.01.2024 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
PREVIEW Roma vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Roma clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

Roma have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home league games, and Atalanta's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Roma against 1.50 for Atalanta.

Roma vs Atalanta Kick-off Time

Roma play Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 05/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Roma vs Atalanta Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Roma vs Atalanta is a Roma win at about 56% probability, priced 1.75 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Roma 56%, draw 25%, Atalanta 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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