Foshan Nanshi 5-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.64
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
17%
4.45
6+
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.64 — our 32% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.10/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.98
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 68%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.7 Crosses 13.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
237 Passes 230
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 4-4 HT 3-2 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
28.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.07.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi cruised past Foshan Nanshi 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Foshan Nanshi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 2.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi?

Foshan Nanshi 5-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 38%, draw 31%, Foshan Nanshi 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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