Guangxi Lanhang 1-1 BIT Beijing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
36%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
36%
Away Win
25%
+10.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Lanhang EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY BIT Beijing EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.50
-27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Lanhang
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BIT Beijing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.94 xG 0.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
107 Passes 180
49% Pass Accuracy 61%
13 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 BIT Beijing BIT Beijing 0-2 HT 0-1 Guangxi Lanhang Guangxi Lanhang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Lanhang
1-1
AWAY BIT Beijing
0.32 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 126
76% Pass Accuracy 56%
9 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guangxi Lanhang vs BIT Beijing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Lanhang and BIT Beijing couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Guangxi Lanhang had 59% of the ball to BIT Beijing's 41%, shots finished 4-8, expected goals 0.32 to 0.33.

What was the final score of Guangxi Lanhang vs BIT Beijing?

Guangxi Lanhang 1-1 BIT Beijing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Lanhang vs BIT Beijing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Lanhang win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Lanhang 39%, draw 24%, BIT Beijing 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangxi Lanhang), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Lanhang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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