Southend United 0-2 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 5 Oct 2024

Southend United
0-2 HT 0-1
Maidenhead United
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Southend United vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.86
Over Pick
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.3
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5 ✗
24%
3.58
6+
9%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.58 — our 24% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
21%
3.94
X/2
9%
8.83
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1 ✗
8%
23.6
2/2
10%
6.93
2/X
8%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.83/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.55
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Southend United vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
19.09.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
07.02.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-2 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
29.08.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
22.03.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
07.12.2021 Southend United Southend United 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL

Southend United 0-2 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
0-2
AWAY Maidenhead United
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
0 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United beat Southend United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Southend United had 65% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 35%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Southend United and 0.83 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Maidenhead United?

Southend United 0-2 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Southend United 49%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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