Albirex Niigata 0-4 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Oct 2024

Albirex Niigata
0-4 HT 0-3
Kashima Antlers
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.86
6+ Goals
12%
17.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.6
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.29
X/2
11%
5.7
X/X
16%
4.31
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
17%
4.01
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata v Kashima Antlers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -19%
1.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.2 Crosses 18.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1

Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
510 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
26.08.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
18.06.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-0 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
23.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
26.03.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
16.09.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-4 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP

Albirex Niigata 0-4 Kashima Antlers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-4
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.80 xG 1.92
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
633 Passes 252
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers ran out comfortable winners over Albirex Niigata 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Kashima Antlers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 68% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 32%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers?

Albirex Niigata 0-4 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 37%, draw 29%, Kashima Antlers 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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