Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
23%
4.82
X/2
12%
6.53
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.7
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.54/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.31
+5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.5 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.13 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
461 Passes 332
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
16.07.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
04.03.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
25.09.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-4 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
21.09.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
14.09.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.53 xG 0.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
550 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka squeezed past Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 64% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 36%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.53 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.83 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 42%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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