Breidablik 3-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.64
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.63
Over
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.87
2-3
39%
2.05
4-5
29%
2.45
6+
11%
5.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Breidablik win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
57%
+7.2pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.9pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik The Market 25%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.82/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.88
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
24.6 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.93 xG 1.15
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
505 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
13.04.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
04.02.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 1-3 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
19.08.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
26.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-4 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
14.07.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
3-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.21 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 4
369 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik saw off Fram Reykjavik 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 54% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 46%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.21 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Breidablik and 1.67 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Breidablik 3-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 64%, draw 18%, Fram Reykjavik 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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