Vikingur R. 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.61
Over
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.58
2-3
37%
2.02
4-5
26%
2.49
6+
14%
5.48
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.58 — our 23% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Vikingur R. win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
65%
-2.9pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur The Market 19%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.96/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.45
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
24.2 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
393 Passes 206
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
11.05.2025 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
25.09.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
05.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 2-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
12.05.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
28.09.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-0
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.32 xG 0.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
414 Passes 187
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. got the better of FH Hafnarfjordur 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 64% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 36%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.32 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Vikingur R. 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 62%, draw 15%, FH Hafnarfjordur 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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