KA Akureyri vs Vestri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Vestri — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Vestri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
KA Akureyri 1-1 Vestri — Actual Match Statistics
KA Akureyri and Vestri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KA Akureyri at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 59% of the ball to Vestri's 41%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.66 to 0.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for KA Akureyri and 0.83 for Vestri.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Vestri?
KA Akureyri 1-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Vestri?
Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 62%, draw 21%, Vestri 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.