Real Salt Lake 1-0 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.36
2-3 Goals
35%
2.0
4-5 Goals
30%
2.59
6+ Goals
14%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.04
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
18%
4.51
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
7%
6.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.1
2/2
11%
7.08
2/X
5%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.58/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.90
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.6 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.59
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
451 Passes 271
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.07.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-2 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
19.05.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 5-3 HT 2-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
10.03.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
22.10.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
1-0
AWAY Colorado Rapids
0.64 xG 2.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
413 Passes 392
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake nicked a narrow win over Colorado Rapids 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 50% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 50%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.64 to 2.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Colorado Rapids.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.50 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?

Real Salt Lake 1-0 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 55%, draw 18%, Colorado Rapids 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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