Colorado Rapids 3-2 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.63
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
16%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.64
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
9%
5.05
X/2
9%
7.47
X/X
14%
5.89
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
15%
4.54
2/X
5%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.8pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.51/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.92
-27% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.9 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 5-3 HT 2-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
10.03.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
22.10.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
25.05.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABDK
21.05.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-3 HT 1-3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
3-2
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.18 xG 0.73
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 509
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids squeezed past Real Salt Lake 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 36% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 64%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.18 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Rapids's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.17 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Colorado Rapids 3-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 43%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
21 Jul 2024
02:30 Orlando City vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs FC Dallas Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →