Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slaven Belupo v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Slaven Belupo 2-1 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo edged past HNK Gorica 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slaven Belupo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Slaven Belupo had 56% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.61 to 2.71 — on chances, HNK Gorica could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for HNK Gorica.
What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Slaven Belupo 2-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 43%, draw 28%, HNK Gorica 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.