HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Slaven Belupo — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 2-1 Slaven Belupo — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica nicked a narrow win over Slaven Belupo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 52% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 48%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 2.11 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 2.83 for Slaven Belupo.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
HNK Gorica 2-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 48%, draw 26%, Slaven Belupo 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.