Istra 1961 vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Istra 1961 v Osijek — Team-Based Signals
Istra 1961 vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 nicked a narrow win over Osijek 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Istra 1961 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Istra 1961 had 51% of the ball to Osijek's 49%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.11 to 2.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured Osijek.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for Osijek.
What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Osijek?
Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Osijek?
Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 45%, draw 26%, Osijek 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.