RKC Waalwijk 1-2 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 5 Dec 2025

RKC Waalwijk
1-2 HT 0-0
VVV-Venlo
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

RKC Waalwijk vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.17
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
18%
4.48
X/2
7%
9.6
X/X
13%
6.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.6
2/2
8%
6.98
2/X
5%
15.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.0pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.60/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.82
-23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.0 Crosses 17.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

RKC Waalwijk vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.62 xG 2.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
362 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.05.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-3 HT 2-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
05.12.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-2 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL
25.01.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL
03.08.2019 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
14.04.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
28.11.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2

RKC Waalwijk 1-2 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-2
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.08 xG 1.81
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
432 Passes 235
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo edged past RKC Waalwijk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was RKC Waalwijk at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 62% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 38%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 2.67 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs VVV-Venlo?

RKC Waalwijk 1-2 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 52%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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