FC Eindhoven 4-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.35
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
16%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.1
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.69
X/2
16%
6.64
X/X
15%
6.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.75
2/2
14%
3.92
2/X
4%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 7% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.36/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.67
-9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.4 Crosses 13.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY PSV II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.81 xG 1.07
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 478
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2025 PSV II PSV II 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
29.11.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.04.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-5 HT 0-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
23.10.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-4 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
19.05.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
4-0
AWAY PSV II
1.58 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 356
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven cruised past PSV II 4-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Eindhoven found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 47% of the ball to PSV II's 53%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.58 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.83 for PSV II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs PSV II?

FC Eindhoven 4-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 38%, draw 26%, PSV II 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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