Cambuur 2-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.54
6+ Goals
13%
5.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.47 — our 22% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.09
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
19%
4.57
X/2
6%
9.9
X/X
12%
6.91
2/1
9%
18.95
2/2
7%
6.74
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
2.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.56
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.4 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 0.84
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
381 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.05.2025 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
12.05.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.03.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
26.11.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
22.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
2-1
AWAY Den Bosch
1.46 xG 0.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
361 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur nicked a narrow win over Den Bosch 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Cambuur had 51% of the ball to Den Bosch's 49%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.46 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cambuur and 1.33 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Den Bosch?

Cambuur 2-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 60%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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