ADO Den Haag 2-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.28
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.54
2-3 Goals
37%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.41
6+ Goals
17%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.43
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.25
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
5%
20.75
X/X
6%
9.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.4
2/2
5%
16.2
2/X
5%
24.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
74%
-2.7pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.40
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
25.3 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Emmen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2025 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
29.11.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 2-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
26.01.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
20.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.05.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
20.08.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-1
AWAY Emmen
1.66 xG 2.24
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
405 Passes 169
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag edged past Emmen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 66% of the ball to Emmen's 34%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.66 to 2.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Emmen.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.33 for Emmen.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Emmen?

ADO Den Haag 2-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 71%, draw 16%, Emmen 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
5 Dec 2025
22:00 RKC Waalwijk vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
22:00 Cambuur vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 Almere City vs Ajax II Analysis →
22:00 Helmond Sport vs MVV Maastricht Analysis →
22:00 Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 FC Eindhoven vs PSV II Analysis →