Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
Roda 2-3 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II nicked a narrow win over Roda 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Roda at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Roda had 51% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 49%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.63 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Roda.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 2.17 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Roda 2-3 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roda 54%, draw 22%, AZ Alkmaar II 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.