Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 2-1 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City squeezed past Sligo Rovers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Derry City had 67% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 33%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.03 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Derry City's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Sligo Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Derry City 2-1 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Derry City 61%, draw 22%, Sligo Rovers 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.