Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 2-1 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City squeezed past Sligo Rovers 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 67% to 33% in Derry City's favour, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.03 to 0.73 — on chances created, Derry City won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Derry City against 0.83 for Sligo Rovers.
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Result & Final Score
Derry City 2 - 1 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Derry City 70%, draw 18%, Sligo Rovers 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.