Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Etoile Carouge v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Etoile Carouge 0-3 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau ran out comfortable winners over Etoile Carouge 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Etoile Carouge had 55% of the ball to Aarau's 45%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 0.88 to 2.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Etoile Carouge and 1.83 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Aarau?
Etoile Carouge 0-3 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 27%, draw 24%, Aarau 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.