Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Apr 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3 HT 0-1
Arsenal
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.71
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.83
1/2
7%
21.2
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
7%
11.8
X/2
20%
3.78
X/X
11%
6.23
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.87
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 66%
+16% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.47/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.89
+4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +39%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 84%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
18.6 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arsenal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
404 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.05.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 0-3 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
31.12.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
09.11.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 1-3 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNLK
09.04.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 1-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
02.10.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
0-3
AWAY Arsenal
0.53 xG 3.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 7
464 Passes 363
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 52
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal swept aside Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 55% of the ball to Arsenal's 45%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.53 to 3.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.33 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?

Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 25%, draw 24%, Arsenal 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
6 Apr 2024
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