San Diego 3-0 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.38
6+ Goals
6%
23.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 36% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.33
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.0
X/2
8%
6.59
X/X
14%
3.94
2/1
10%
31.0
2/2
21%
5.1
2/X
4%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.98/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.34
-10% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.2 Crosses 19.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Diego
3-0
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.44 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
320 Passes 451
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 17
7 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Diego vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego ran out comfortable winners over Seattle Sounders 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had San Diego as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Diego had 43% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 57%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.44 to 1.14.

What was the final score of San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?

San Diego 3-0 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Diego 44%, draw 22%, Seattle Sounders 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Diego), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Diego) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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